Reflections 2024

I’ll just go loose here…

First, I need to be making f trades. I spent most of the year coding, analyzing, then doing few trades during open so I lost money, felt bed, analyze more, code more. I didn’t learn from trades, analyze them, I was far away from facing the fear of trading. But… I guess I’m also realizing (especially with my trade form I created) that thinking in terms of EV, R:R, risk etc., make most sense and I need to stick to doing it. Basically, if

  1. I stick to ST
  2. Conduct trades via form (now I split it into two forms: Leopard for quick trades with 1 PT and 1 SL and Tiger for up to 3 PT and up to 3 SL; as per screenshot for tabs)
  3. Don’t trade open until 10:30 unless it’s single directional bet (or straddle that I would like to try)
  4. Follow and keep improving process for identifying trades
  5. Follow and keep improving process for building features useful in trades
  6. Analyze all of own trades
  7. Track KPIs monthly (# trades, R:R etc., all from order management)
  8. Read subs to bloomberg, wsj, barrons, marketwatch for leads and market sentiment news

If I stick to those things I should be good

But yes, I also realized that doing big bets can work better than a thousand small ones. I was close to putting a lot of money into TSLA at 220. Didn’t do. BTC looked great technically before election results. Didn’t do anything. ANF wedge I saw I followed and I bet and won. GOOGL too sentiment play and technical. It’s just probabilities and estimations and judgment really. Out of all, thinking about stocks and decisions from EV and R:R perspective is probably most important out of all. And then reducing that process to look for good trades. And then options once consistency is reached for leverage. Finally I feel like I see greater light ahead.

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